Villareal vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Villareal vs. Alaves in the World Cup on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Alaves
1
3
Jan 10, 3:15PM Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Jan 10, 3:15PM Estadio de la Ceramica
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Moleiro (49')
Soccer ball icon
G. Moreno (55')
Soccer ball icon
G. Mikautadze (75')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez
1-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces A. Pedraza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces J. Guridi
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces C. Alena
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Moleiro
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze, assisted by A. Moleiro
0-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces D. Parejo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces T. Buchanan
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces Jonny Otto
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces P. Ibanez
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno
0-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Moleiro
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces A. Perez
45'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
C. Alena (Alaves) cautioned

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Villareal vs. Alaves: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Villareal vs. Alaves prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -200, Alaves +700, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Villareal: 61.1%
  • Alaves: 16.8%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Villareal 1-0 Alaves.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.1%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Villareal vs. Alaves prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.