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Villareal vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Alaves La Liga game on January 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
3
Jan 10, 3:15PM Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Jan 10, 3:15PM Estadio de la Ceramica
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Moleiro (49')
G. Moreno (55')
G. Mikautadze (75')
T. Martinez (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez
1-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces A. Pedraza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces J. Guridi
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces C. Alena
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Moleiro
75'
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze, assisted by A. Moleiro
0-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces D. Parejo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces T. Buchanan
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces Jonny Otto
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces P. Ibanez
55'
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno
0-2
49'
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Moleiro
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces A. Perez
45'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
C. Alena (Alaves) cautioned

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Villareal vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Villareal -200, Alaves +700, Draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-105/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Villareal: 61.1%
  • Alaves: 16.8%
  • Draw: 22.1%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Villareal 1-0 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Villareal a win probability of 61.1%, while Alaves has a win probability of 16.8%. The chance of a draw is 22.1%.

Summary

Our Villareal vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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