Villareal vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Alaves La Liga match on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
3
Jan 10, 10:15 AM ET Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Jan 10, 10:15 AM ET Estadio de la Ceramica
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Moleiro (49')
Soccer ball icon
G. Moreno (55')
Soccer ball icon
G. Mikautadze (75')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (85')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Villareal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez
1-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces A. Pedraza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces J. Guridi
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces C. Alena
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Moleiro
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze, assisted by A. Moleiro
0-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces D. Parejo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces T. Buchanan
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces Jonny Otto
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces P. Ibanez
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno
0-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Moleiro
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces A. Perez
45'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
C. Alena (Alaves) cautioned

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Villareal vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -200, Alaves +700, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Villareal: 61.1%
  • Alaves: 16.8%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-0 Alaves (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Villareal vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.1%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Villareal vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.