Valencia vs. Villareal prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/24/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Valencia and Villareal, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 32.6% chance of Valencia winning, a 42.4% chance for Villareal, and a 25.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.4% chance of going over., with a 56.8% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Villareal +122, Valencia +239
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Valencia @ +239 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +122 via Polymarket

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Valencia 1-1 Villareal (11.8% probability)
• Valencia 0-1 Villareal (9.1%)
• Valencia 1-2 Villareal (8.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga matchup between Valencia and Villareal at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to commence in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Valencia vs. Villareal
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30 AM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Valencia has a 32.6% win probability on Saturday, Villareal has a 42.4% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.