Real Madrid vs. Sevilla prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Madrid and Sevilla, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 70.1% chance of Real Madrid winning, a 12.7% chance for Sevilla, and a 17.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 65.0% chance of going over., with a 55.2% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sevilla +1200, Real Madrid -388
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-233/+223)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sevilla @ +1200 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +223 via Novig

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sevilla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:

• Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla (10.3% probability)
• Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla (9.6%)
• Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla (8.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.2% chance of both Real Madrid and Sevilla finding the net and a 44.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Madrid and Sevilla is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Real Madrid vs. Sevilla
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Madrid has a 70.1% win probability on Sunday, Sevilla has a 12.7% win probability, and there is a 17.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.