...
...
Read Article
Vermont vs. UMBC prediction: Vermont favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Vermont vs UMBC predictions for college basketball Thursday.
UMBC will square off with Vermont, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena on Thursday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Vermont a slight edge with a 53% win probability over UMBC.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Vermont vs. UMBC matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Vermont vs. UMBC prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Vermont and UMBC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Vermont a 53% chance of beating UMBC. Our predicted final score has Vermont winning 72-71.
According to our model, UMBC (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
Vermont vs. UMBC odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Vermont | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +130 | +105 |
| Total | o142.5 (-110) | u142.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Vermont vs. UMBC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC +1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Vermont | +130 |
| Total | Over 142.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Vermont to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Vermont vs. UMBC game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between UMBC and Vermont at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Vermont vs. UMBC
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena
Conclusion
We predict Vermont, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat UMBC on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vermont vs. UMBC insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure