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Valparaiso vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Valparaiso vs Murray State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET as Valparaiso looks to defy the odds against Murray State in men's college basketball action at CFSB Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Valparaiso vs. Murray State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Valparaiso vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Valparaiso and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Murray State an 86% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 84-72.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Valparaiso and Murray State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 152.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
Valparaiso vs. Murray State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Valparaiso | Murray State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-108) | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +630 | -800 |
| Total | o152.5 (-110) | u152.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valparaiso vs. Murray State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Murray State -12.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Valparaiso | +630 |
| Total | Over 152.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 152.5 total points.
Valparaiso vs. Murray State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Murray State and Valparaiso at CFSB Center is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Valparaiso vs. Murray State
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: CFSB Center
Conclusion
We predict Murray State, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Valparaiso vs. Murray State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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