Valparaiso vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/10/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET as Valparaiso looks to defy the odds against Murray State in men's college basketball action at CFSB Center.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Valparaiso vs. Murray State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Valparaiso vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Valparaiso and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Murray State an 86% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 84-72.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Valparaiso and Murray State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 152.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Valparaiso vs. Murray State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Valparaiso vs. Murray State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: