Valparaiso vs. Illinois State prediction: Why Illinois State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/12/2026]

Illinois State will square off with Valparaiso in men's college basketball action at CEFCU Arena on Thursday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Illinois State as the most likely winner of the Valparaiso vs. Illinois State game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Valparaiso vs. Illinois State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Valparaiso and Illinois State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Illinois State an 81% chance of beating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Illinois State winning 73-64.

According to our model, Valparaiso (+9.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 138.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Valparaiso vs. Illinois State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Valparaiso vs. Illinois State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 138.5 total points.

Valparaiso vs. Illinois State game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Illinois State and Valparaiso at CEFCU Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valparaiso vs. Illinois State
• Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: CEFCU Arena

Conclusion

We predict Illinois State, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Valparaiso vs. Illinois State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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