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Valencia vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Valencia vs Alaves predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 4:00 PM ET as Alaves squares off with Valencia at Estadio de Mestalla.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Valencia as the most likely winner of the Valencia vs. Alaves game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Valencia vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Valencia and Alaves 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 45.7% chance of Valencia winning, a 26.3% chance for Alaves, and a 28.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Valencia vs. Alaves odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Valencia | Alaves | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +310 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +152 | -188 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valencia vs. Alaves picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alaves | +310 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +152 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valencia vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Valencia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VAL 1-0 ALV | 13.9% |
| VAL 1-1 ALV | 12.9% |
| VAL 0-0 ALV | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 55.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Valencia vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Valencia and Alaves at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to start in the United States at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Valencia vs. Alaves
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Valencia has a 45.7% win probability on Sunday, Alaves has a 26.3% win probability, and there is a 28.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Valencia vs. Alaves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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