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Valencia vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Valencia vs. Alaves at the La Liga on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
2
3
Mar 8, 8PM Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Mar 8, 8PM Estadio de Mestalla
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
AlavesALA
J. Guerra (47')
Soccer ball icon
E. Comert (90')
Soccer ball icon
H. Duro (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (pen.) (3')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (71')
Soccer ball icon
J. Pacheco (90')
Red Card icon
A. Guevara (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by E. Comert
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Red Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Red Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro (pen.)
2-3
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces T. Martinez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Raba replaces T. Rendall
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Almeida replaces J. Guerra
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces L. Ramazani
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces F. Ugrinic
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by D. Suarez
2-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Danjuma replaces L. Rioja
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces C. Alena
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces J. Guridi
58'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by J. Guerra, assisted by U. Sadiq
1-1
43'
Yellow Card
Yusi (Alaves) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned
30'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces C. Protesoni
17'
Yellow Card
L. Ramazani (Valencia) cautioned
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
1-0

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Valencia vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Valencia vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +110, Alaves +310, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-179)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Valencia: 45.7%
  • Alaves: 26.3%
  • Draw: 28.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Valencia 1-0 Alaves, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Valencia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.7% probability, while Alaves sits at 26.3%, with the draw at 28.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Valencia vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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