Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
1
:
1
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
A. Adams (13')
Soccer ball icon
Pacha (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces I. Palazon
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces F. Perez
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces D. Sow
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces G. Gumbau
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces C. Martin
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces A. Sanchez
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces A. Adams
  9. 65'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  10. 59'
    Yellow Card
    F. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces C. Azpilicueta
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Akhomach replaces J. de Frutos
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Pacha, assisted by F. Perez
    1-1
  14. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams, assisted by C. Azpilicueta
    0-1
  15. 2'
    Yellow Card
    N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +163, Rayo Vallecano +200, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-157)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 39.9%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 32.7%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.9%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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