Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
1
:
1
Mar 8, 1:30 PM ET
Sevilla
Mar 8, 1:30 PM ET
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
A. Adams (13')
Soccer ball icon
Pacha (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces I. Palazon
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces F. Perez
85'
Yellow Card
A. Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces D. Sow
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces G. Gumbau
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces C. Martin
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces A. Sanchez
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces A. Adams
65'
Yellow Card
F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
F. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces C. Azpilicueta
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Akhomach replaces J. de Frutos
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Pacha, assisted by F. Perez
1-1
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams, assisted by C. Azpilicueta
0-1
2'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +163, Rayo Vallecano +200, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-157)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 39.9%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 32.7%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.9%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.