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Utah State vs. New Mexico prediction: Utah State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Utah State vs New Mexico predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
New Mexico will take on Utah State, in what is expected to be a tight men's college basketball game, at The Pit on Wednesday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Utah State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over New Mexico.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Utah State vs. New Mexico matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Utah State vs. New Mexico prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Utah State and New Mexico 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Utah State a 52% chance of beating New Mexico. Our predicted score is Utah State 78-78 New Mexico.
According to our model, Utah State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 157.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 78-78 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Utah State vs. New Mexico.
Utah State vs. New Mexico odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Utah State | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -118 |
| Total | o157.5 (-106) | u157.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Utah State vs. New Mexico picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah State +1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Utah State | +110 |
| Total | Over 157.5 | -106 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Utah State to win.
Utah State vs. New Mexico game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between New Mexico and Utah State at The Pit is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah State vs. New Mexico
- Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: The Pit
Conclusion
We predict Utah State, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Utah State vs. New Mexico insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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