Jazz vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/22/2025]

The Denver Nuggets will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Jazz will rely on Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Ace Bailey.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Jazz vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Jazz and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets an 82% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 129-118.

According to our model, the Jazz (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 251.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

Jazz vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jazz	Nuggets
Spread	+12.5 (-106)	-12.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+560	-675
Total	o251.5 (-110)	u251.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jazz vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +12.5	-106
Moneyline	Jazz	+560
Total	Under 251.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 251.5 total points.

Jazz vs. Nuggets player props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Monday's Jazz vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Jazz prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Lauri Markkanen	24	6	2	3	40
Keyonte George	22	4	7	3	42
Ace Bailey	13	4	2	2	26
Kyle Filipowski	11	7	2	1	26
Isaiah Collier	10	3	7	1	28

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	30	12	10	3	69
Jamal Murray	25	4	7	3	46
Cameron Johnson	16	4	4	2	32
Tim Hardaway	13	2	2	3	22
Peyton Watson	12	5	2	1	27

Jazz vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Nuggets and Jazz at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Monday, December 22, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 69 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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