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Jazz vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz will meet in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Jazz will rely on Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Ace Bailey.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Jazz and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Nuggets an 84% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 129-118.
According to our model, the Jazz (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 250.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +600 | -850 |
| Total | o250.5 (-110) | u250.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +13.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +600 |
| Total | Under 250.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +13.5 at the spread.
Jazz vs. Nuggets player props
Betting on Jazz vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 24 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 40 |
| Keyonte George | 23 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 44 |
| Ace Bailey | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 69 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 46 |
| Cameron Johnson | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
| Tim Hardaway | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
Jazz vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Nuggets and Jazz at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, December 22, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 69 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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