NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Thunder play [12/22/2025]

Grizzlies +16.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Grizzlies +16.5 at -110 odds. A 57.3% probability produces an edge of 4.9%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Jazz +14.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Jazz +14.5 carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 57% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Jazz vs. Nuggets over 247.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Jazz vs. Nuggets over 247.5 points at -106 odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 55.7% probability in simulations.

Mavericks -1.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 3.1% edge and 53.1% probability make Mavericks -1.5 vs. Pelicans at a value play in the Mavericks vs. Pelicans matchup, per our model.

Hornets +8.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Hornets +8.5 at +100 odds presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.1%.

Pelicans ML (-112)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Pelicans to win at -112 odds, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 12/22/2025

As of 2:32AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Thunder	Grizzlies +16.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.9%	57.3%
Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz +14.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.7%	57%
Jazz vs. Nuggets	Over 247.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	4.2%	55.7%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Mavericks -1.5	+100 @ DraftKings	3.1%	53.1%
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Hornets +8.5	+100 @ DraftKings	3.1%	53.1%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans ML	-112 @ DraftKings	2.2%	55%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/22/2025]

• Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grizzlies vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET, Monday)
• Pistons vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Magic vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 22, 2025, featuring plays such as Grizzlies +16.5 and Jazz +14.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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