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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on December 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
130
Dec 24, 1:30AM Frost Bank Center
Dec 24, 1:30AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 29 | 31 | 22 | 28 | 110 |
Spurs | 31 | 27 | 29 | 43 | 130 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 29 | 31 | 22 | 28 | 110 |
Spurs | 31 | 27 | 29 | 43 | 130 |
Q4 00:14 Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 00:25 Jordan McLaughlin makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 00:42 Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
Q4 00:56 Carter Bryant makes two point stepback jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
Q4 1:11 Chris Youngblood makes three point jump shot (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
Q4 1:47 Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
Q4 1:52 Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
Q4 2:06 Bismack Biyombo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 2:20 Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:26 Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Jordan McLaughlin makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
110-130
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
110-128
+2
Carter Bryant makes two point stepback jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
108-128
+3
Chris Youngblood makes three point jump shot (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
108-126
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Branden Carlson shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-126
Kenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)
+3
Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
105-125
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
105-122
+2
Bismack Biyombo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
103-122
Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Carter Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
103-120
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
101-120
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point cutting layup (Branden Carlson assists)
101-117
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point running jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
99-117
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point turnaround hook shot (Dylan Harper assists)
99-114
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
99-112
Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-112
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-111
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
96-110
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
94-110
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
94-107
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point layup
92-107
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
92-105
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point reverse layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
90-105
Thunder 60 second timeout
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
90-103
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-101
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-101
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Julian Champagnie turnover (out of bounds step)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
88-101
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
88-98
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point stepback jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point stepback jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
86-98
Luguentz Dort offensive foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-94
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-95
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
86-93
Alex Caruso turnover (bad pass)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-91
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-90
Alex Caruso personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
86-89
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving finger roll layup
84-89
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
84-87
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Start of 4th Quarter
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
82-87
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Stephon Castle personal foul (Take) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Keldon Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
79-87
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
79-84
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point running jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
76-84
Alex Caruso turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running dunk
76-81
Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
Dylan Harper personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Victor Wembanyama offensive foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point layup
76-79
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chris Youngblood, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
76-77
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)
76-74
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
74-74
Jalen Williams personal foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Jalen Williams turnover
Thunder violation
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Wembanyama assists)
74-72
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
74-70
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
72-70
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
69-70
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-70
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-69
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Harrison Barnes steals)
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-68
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-67
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
66-66
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
64-66
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point running jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
62-66
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
62-63
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Jalen Williams turnover (lost ball) (Stephon Castle steals)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-59
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
62-58
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point driving floating jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses two point driving hook shot
Jalen Williams misses three point stepback jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
End of 1st Half.
Start of 3rd Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder challenge timeout
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
60-58
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving layup
57-58
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
57-56
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
55-56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-54
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kornet blocks Chet Holmgren's two point cutting layup
Spurs defensive rebound
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
54-54
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-53
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-54
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
52-52
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
50-52
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-50
Jump ball. Victor Wembanyama vs. Isaiah Hartenstein (Harrison Barnes gains possession)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder offensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul
Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs challenge timeout
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
50-49
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-48
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-49
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
47-47
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
45-47
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point stepback jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip layup
45-45
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point alley-oop layup
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-43
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Joe steals)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
43-43
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point driving hook shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
40-43
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
40-41
Keldon Johnson offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs delay of game violation
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
38-41
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)
36-41
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
33-41
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
33-39
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving reverse layup
33-36
Thunder turnover
Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
31-36
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Kenrich Williams assists)
31-34
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
29-34
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Start of 2nd Quarter
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving layup
29-31
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point running finger roll layup
29-29
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Jalen Williams personal foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Julian Champagnie steals)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
27-29
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
+3
Aaron Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot
27-27
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup
24-27
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point running jump shot
Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
24-25
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
21-25
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
21-23
De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point reverse layup (Dylan Harper assists)
19-23
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving layup (Jalen Williams assists)
19-21
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dylan Harper assists)
17-21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Spurs defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
17-19
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
17-16
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point driving floating jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams turnover (lost ball) (Dylan Harper steals)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point turnaround bank jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
15-16
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Stephon Castle personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
13-16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot
13-13
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point putback layup
11-13
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point layup (Stephon Castle assists)
11-11
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Luke Kornet blocks Jalen Williams's two point reverse layup
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving reverse layup
11-9
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
11-7
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point running layup
9-7
Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
9-5
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point alley-oop layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
9-2
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point stepback jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point running pullup jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving layup
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
7-2
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
4-2
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-2
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point running alley-oop dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
2-2
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point pullup jump shot
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
2-0
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point pullup jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Start of 1st Quarter
Chet Holmgren vs. Luke Kornet (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
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Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -230, Spurs +205
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 69%
- Spurs: 31%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 120-115 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 69%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 31%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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