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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA game on December 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Nuggets
130
131
Dec 24, 1AM American Airlines Center
Mavericks
Dec 24, 1AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Nuggets
27 29 47 27 130
Mavericks
41 25 37 28 131
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
38%
62%
MavericksDAL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 29 47 27 130
Mavericks
41 25 37 28 131
Q4 00:00 Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:12 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:29 Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:38 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:02 Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:09 Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:07
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin)
Q4 00:08
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 00:31
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)
Q4 00:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 00:41
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Q4 00:44
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:51
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:12
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
128-131
Q4 1:53
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:11
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Q4 2:23
Anthony Davis personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Q4 3:15
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 5:09
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Q4 5:29
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 5:29
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q4 5:35
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:02
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 6:06
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 6:09
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:15
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Q4 6:17
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:23
Mavericks turnover
Q4 6:26
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Q4 6:27
Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:42
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 6:42
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)
Q4 6:42
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Jonas Valanciunas)
Q4 6:44
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Q4 6:47
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:25
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 8:04
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point putback layup
130-131
Q4 9:18
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 9:18
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)
Q4 9:20
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)
130-131
Q4 9:52
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 10:00
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Q4 10:03
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:09
Julian Strawther personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
Q4 10:25
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q4 10:25
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 10:25
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q4 10:32
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 10:42
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Q4 10:42
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q4 10:45
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:57
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 11:02
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q4 11:21
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot
108-105
Q4 11:41
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q4 11:46
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)
Q4 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)
Q3 00:01
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
130-131
Q3 00:07
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q3 00:10
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:31
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q3 00:38
Julian Strawther personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Q3 00:38
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-105
Q3 00:38
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q3 00:48
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
108-105
Q3 00:58
Jump ball. Nikola Jokic vs. Daniel Gafford (Bruce Brown gains possession)
Q3 1:04
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:07
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:23
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q3 1:37
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:39
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:39
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q3 1:39
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 1:49
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)
108-105
Q3 1:49
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams)
Q3 1:49
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther)
Q3 1:49
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q3 1:51
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 1:55
Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:14
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q3 2:34
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 2:47
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 2:51
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot
85-98
Q3 2:54
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Q3 2:57
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:11
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
85-96
Q3 3:26
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
130-131
Q3 3:41
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q3 3:47
Jamal Murray turnover
Q3 3:48
Caleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)
Q3 3:52
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
Q3 4:03
Mavericks violation
Q3 4:03
Nuggets personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Q3 4:03
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)
Q3 4:03
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)
Q3 4:04
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-105
Q3 4:04
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-105
Q3 4:20
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
79-91
Q3 4:35
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-88
Q3 4:35
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Q3 4:35
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
130-131
Q3 4:40
Bruce Brown personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Q3 4:43
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:57
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 5:11
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)
Q3 5:11
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:11
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q3 5:12
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:13
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 5:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:32
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
76-88
Q3 5:45
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 5:45
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 5:45
Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 5:45
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones)
Q3 5:46
Cooper Flagg misses two point tip dunk
Q3 5:46
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Q3 5:50
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:02
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:10
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)
130-131
Q3 6:23
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q3 6:26
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:40
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
Q3 6:40
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-91
Q3 6:40
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 6:40
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)
Q3 6:44
Nikola Jokic turnover
Q3 7:01
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
76-91
Q3 7:06
Nuggets turnover
Q3 7:21
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 7:23
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Q3 7:25
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:47
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
76-84
Q3 7:58
Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:58
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q3 8:14
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
130-131
Q3 8:21
Instant replay (Request)
Q3 8:21
Jaden Hardy clear path foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Q3 8:21
+1
Peyton Watson makes clear path free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q3 8:21
+1
Peyton Watson makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q3 8:23
Anthony Davis turnover
Q3 8:37
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 8:52
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q3 8:59
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Q3 9:03
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Q3 9:10
Anthony Davis personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Q3 9:19
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Q3 9:19
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q3 9:19
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q3 9:34
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving layup
130-131
Q3 9:49
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
130-131
Q3 9:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:10
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 10:10
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Q3 10:14
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:18
Mavericks turnover
Q3 10:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-68
Q3 10:43
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 10:46
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:04
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
130-131
Q3 11:21
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 11:50
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
130-131
Q3 11:57
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Nikola Jokic misses three point turnaround jump shot
Q2 00:11
+3
Cooper Flagg makes three point jump shot
50-61
Q2 00:32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
50-61
Q2 00:40
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 00:42
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:51
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Q2 00:53
Cameron Johnson misses two point running layup
Q2 00:57
Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Spencer Jones steals)
Q2 1:00
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 1:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:01
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:23
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
130-131
Q2 1:37
Peyton Watson personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Q2 1:37
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q2 1:37
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q2 1:38
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:38
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Q2 1:55
Jaden Hardy personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Q2 1:55
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-131
Q2 1:55
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-131
Q2 1:58
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:13
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)
Q2 2:13
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)
Q2 2:13
Spencer Jones turnover
Q2 2:13
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 2:13
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
Q2 2:13
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
Q2 2:18
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:39
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
50-61
Q2 3:03
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot
48-61
Q2 3:22
Nuggets turnover
Q2 3:22
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones)
Q2 3:22
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams)
Q2 3:36
+3
D'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot
50-61
Q2 3:43
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q2 3:43
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
50-61
Q2 3:43
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 3:48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:58
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 4:01
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:23
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
50-61
Q2 4:28
Mavericks turnover
Q2 4:40
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
50-61
Q2 4:59
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
50-61
Q2 5:17
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 5:17
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup
85-98
Q2 5:17
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q2 5:17
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones)
Q2 5:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:33
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:43
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 5:43
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)
Q2 5:43
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther)
Q2 5:58
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving layup
40-54
Q2 6:09
Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams)
Q2 6:09
Naji Marshall kicked ball violation
Q2 6:21
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
38-54
Q2 6:38
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
38-52
Q2 6:46
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 6:48
Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:01
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
36-52
Q2 7:11
Cooper Flagg personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)
Q2 7:11
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)
Q2 7:21
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)
Q2 7:21
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)
Q2 7:21
Cooper Flagg turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q2 7:24
Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
Q2 7:43
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
34-52
Q2 8:11
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Spencer Jones assists)
34-50
Q2 8:14
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 8:17
Bruce Brown blocks Daniel Gafford's two point driving layup
Q2 8:30
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)
31-50
Q2 8:41
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 8:44
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Q2 8:49
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -6
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -240, Mavericks +205

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 70%
  • Mavericks: 30%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 121-115 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 70%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 30%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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