Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on December 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
110
130
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
29 31 22 28 110
Spurs
31 27 29 43 130
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
29 31 22 28 110
Spurs
31 27 29 43 130
Q4 00:14 Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 00:25 Jordan McLaughlin makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 00:42 Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
Q4 00:56 Carter Bryant makes two point stepback jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
Q4 1:11 Chris Youngblood makes three point jump shot (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
Q4 1:47 Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
Q4 1:52 Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
Q4 2:06 Bismack Biyombo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 2:20 Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:26 Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:11
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:14
    Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
  4. Q4 00:25
    +2
    Jordan McLaughlin makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
    110-130
  5. Q4 00:42
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
    110-128
  6. Q4 00:56
    +2
    Carter Bryant makes two point stepback jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
    108-128
  7. Q4 1:11
    +3
    Chris Youngblood makes three point jump shot (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
    108-126
  8. Q4 1:17
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:23
    Branden Carlson shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
  10. Q4 1:23
    Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  11. Q4 1:23
    +1
    Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-126
  12. Q4 1:38
    Kenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)
  13. Q4 1:47
    +3
    Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
    105-125
  14. Q4 1:52
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
    105-122
  15. Q4 2:06
    +2
    Bismack Biyombo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
    103-122
  16. Q4 2:20
    Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Carter Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
  17. Q4 2:20
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    103-120
  18. Q4 2:20
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  19. Q4 2:20
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
  20. Q4 2:20
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
  21. Q4 2:26
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    101-120
  22. Q4 2:37
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  23. Q4 2:37
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:02
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point cutting layup (Branden Carlson assists)
    101-117
  25. Q4 3:11
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams)
  26. Q4 3:11
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  27. Q4 3:13
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point running jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    99-117
  28. Q4 3:17
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  29. Q4 3:19
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:33
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point turnaround hook shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    99-114
  31. Q4 3:42
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  32. Q4 4:02
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    99-112
  33. Q4 4:15
    Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
  34. Q4 4:15
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-112
  35. Q4 4:15
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 4:15
    Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  37. Q4 4:15
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    96-111
  38. Q4 4:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
  39. Q4 4:15
    Spurs offensive rebound
  40. Q4 4:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  41. Q4 4:38
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    96-110
  42. Q4 4:51
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
    94-110
  43. Q4 5:07
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  44. Q4 5:12
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    94-107
  45. Q4 5:24
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point layup
    92-107
  46. Q4 5:43
    +2
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
    92-105
  47. Q4 5:57
    Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  48. Q4 5:57
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
  49. Q4 5:57
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point reverse layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    90-105
  50. Q4 5:57
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  51. Q4 6:12
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  52. Q4 6:15
    Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  53. Q4 6:31
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
    90-103
  54. Q4 6:46
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  55. Q4 6:46
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-101
  56. Q4 6:46
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-101
  57. Q4 6:46
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  58. Q4 7:05
    Julian Champagnie turnover (out of bounds step)
  59. Q4 7:07
    Spurs offensive rebound
  60. Q4 7:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  61. Q4 7:08
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 7:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  63. Q4 7:23
    Spurs defensive rebound
  64. Q4 7:23
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  65. Q4 7:23
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  66. Q4 7:24
    Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
  67. Q4 7:48
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    88-101
  68. Q4 8:02
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    88-98
  69. Q4 8:05
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  70. Q4 8:10
    Julian Champagnie blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point stepback jump shot
  71. Q4 8:23
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  72. Q4 8:26
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot
  73. Q4 8:40
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  74. Q4 8:42
    Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 8:59
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  76. Q4 8:59
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  77. Q4 9:00
    +3
    Victor Wembanyama makes three point stepback jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    86-98
  78. Q4 9:20
    Luguentz Dort offensive foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  79. Q4 9:20
    Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
  80. Q4 9:20
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  81. Q4 9:41
    Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  82. Q4 9:41
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-94
  83. Q4 9:41
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-95
  84. Q4 9:41
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  85. Q4 9:49
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  86. Q4 9:53
    Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
  87. Q4 10:00
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
  88. Q4 10:13
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
    86-93
  89. Q4 10:24
    Alex Caruso turnover (bad pass)
  90. Q4 10:24
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  91. Q4 10:24
    Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  92. Q4 10:42
    Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  93. Q4 10:42
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-91
  94. Q4 10:42
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-90
  95. Q4 10:54
    Alex Caruso personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  96. Q4 11:08
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    86-89
  97. Q4 11:23
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point driving finger roll layup
    84-89
  98. Q4 11:38
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    84-87
  99. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  100. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  101. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  102. Q4 12:00
    Start of 4th Quarter
  103. Q3 00:01
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    82-87
  104. Q3 00:09
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  105. Q3 00:09
    Stephon Castle personal foul (Take) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  106. Q3 00:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  107. Q3 00:25
    Thunder defensive rebound
  108. Q3 00:25
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  109. Q3 00:25
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  110. Q3 00:25
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  111. Q3 00:26
    Keldon Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
  112. Q3 00:46
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:49
    Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
  114. Q3 1:09
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    79-87
  115. Q3 1:25
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
    79-84
  116. Q3 1:30
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  117. Q3 1:34
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot
  118. Q3 1:50
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  119. Q3 1:54
    Cason Wallace misses three point running jump shot
  120. Q3 1:58
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  121. Q3 2:01
    Keldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  122. Q3 2:08
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  123. Q3 2:11
    Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 2:26
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    76-84
  125. Q3 2:42
    Alex Caruso turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
  126. Q3 3:00
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  127. Q3 3:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  128. Q3 3:01
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point running dunk
    76-81
  129. Q3 3:05
    Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
  130. Q3 3:14
    Dylan Harper personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
  131. Q3 3:14
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  132. Q3 3:35
    Victor Wembanyama offensive foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
  133. Q3 3:35
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  134. Q3 3:35
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  135. Q3 3:39
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  136. Q3 3:41
    Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
  137. Q3 3:59
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point layup
    76-79
  138. Q3 4:12
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  139. Q3 4:15
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 4:22
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
  141. Q3 4:22
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
  142. Q3 4:22
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  143. Q3 4:22
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  144. Q3 4:22
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chris Youngblood, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
  145. Q3 4:38
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    76-77
  146. Q3 5:03
    +2
    Cason Wallace makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)
    76-74
  147. Q3 5:19
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
    74-74
  148. Q3 5:30
    Jalen Williams personal foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
  149. Q3 5:30
    Jalen Williams turnover
  150. Q3 5:47
    Thunder violation
  151. Q3 5:47
    Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
  152. Q3 6:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  153. Q3 6:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  154. Q3 6:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  155. Q3 6:00
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  156. Q3 6:04
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
  157. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    74-72
  158. Q3 6:46
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
    74-70
  159. Q3 6:51
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  160. Q3 6:55
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 6:58
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
  162. Q3 7:07
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    72-70
  163. Q3 7:17
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  164. Q3 7:21
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  165. Q3 7:35
    +3
    Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    69-70
  166. Q3 7:49
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-70
  167. Q3 7:49
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-69
  168. Q3 7:49
    Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
  169. Q3 7:53
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Harrison Barnes steals)
  170. Q3 8:03
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  171. Q3 8:06
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
  172. Q3 8:08
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  173. Q3 8:13
    Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 8:27
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
  175. Q3 8:27
    Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  176. Q3 8:27
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  177. Q3 8:27
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-68
  178. Q3 8:27
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-67
  179. Q3 8:54
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
    66-66
  180. Q3 9:06
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  181. Q3 9:06
    Devin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot
  182. Q3 9:19
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    64-66
  183. Q3 9:33
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point running jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    62-66
  184. Q3 9:42
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
  185. Q3 9:42
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  186. Q3 9:44
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  187. Q3 9:46
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
  188. Q3 9:59
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    62-63
  189. Q3 10:02
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  190. Q3 10:05
    Jalen Williams turnover (lost ball) (Stephon Castle steals)
  191. Q3 10:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  192. Q3 10:22
    Jalen Williams shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  193. Q3 10:22
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-59
  194. Q3 10:22
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-60
  195. Q3 10:25
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)
  196. Q3 10:34
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  197. Q3 10:37
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 10:52
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    62-58
  199. Q3 11:09
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  200. Q3 11:12
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  201. Q3 11:13
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  202. Q3 11:16
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point driving floating jump shot
  203. Q3 11:27
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  204. Q3 11:30
    Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  205. Q3 11:39
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  206. Q3 11:43
    Harrison Barnes misses two point driving hook shot
  207. Q2 00:00
    Jalen Williams misses three point stepback jump shot
  208. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  209. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  210. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  211. Q3 12:00
    Start of 3rd Quarter
  212. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  213. Q2 00:16
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  214. Q2 00:19
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  215. Q2 00:19
    Luguentz Dort shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  216. Q2 00:19
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  217. Q2 00:19
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  218. Q2 00:19
    Spurs offensive rebound
  219. Q2 00:19
    Thunder challenge timeout
  220. Q2 00:19
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  221. Q2 00:19
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  222. Q2 00:19
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  223. Q2 00:33
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    60-58
  224. Q2 00:40
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving layup
    57-58
  225. Q2 1:01
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
    57-56
  226. Q2 1:05
    Jalen Williams offensive rebound
  227. Q2 1:10
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  228. Q2 1:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  229. Q2 1:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q2 1:26
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    55-56
  231. Q2 1:40
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-54
  232. Q2 1:40
    Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  233. Q2 1:40
    Thunder offensive rebound
  234. Q2 1:40
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  235. Q2 1:40
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  236. Q2 1:41
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
  237. Q2 1:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  238. Q2 1:59
    Luke Kornet blocks Chet Holmgren's two point cutting layup
  239. Q2 1:59
    Spurs defensive rebound
  240. Q2 2:06
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  241. Q2 2:08
    Stephon Castle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  242. Q2 2:30
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    54-54
  243. Q2 2:40
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama)
  244. Q2 2:40
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  245. Q2 2:40
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  246. Q2 2:40
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-53
  247. Q2 2:40
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    52-54
  248. Q2 3:00
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    52-52
  249. Q2 3:13
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
    50-52
  250. Q2 3:21
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  251. Q2 3:24
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot
  252. Q2 3:33
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  253. Q2 3:36
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  254. Q2 3:36
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  255. Q2 3:36
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-50
  256. Q2 3:54
    Jump ball. Victor Wembanyama vs. Isaiah Hartenstein (Harrison Barnes gains possession)
  257. Q2 3:54
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  258. Q2 3:54
    Thunder offensive rebound
  259. Q2 3:54
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  260. Q2 3:54
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  261. Q2 3:55
    Victor Wembanyama shooting foul
  262. Q2 3:56
    Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
  263. Q2 4:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  264. Q2 4:02
    Spurs challenge timeout
  265. Q2 4:02
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 4:14
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    50-49
  267. Q2 4:31
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  268. Q2 4:34
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 4:51
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
  270. Q2 4:51
    Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
  271. Q2 5:03
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  272. Q2 5:06
    Jalen Williams misses three point pullup jump shot
  273. Q2 5:31
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-48
  274. Q2 5:31
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  275. Q2 5:31
    Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  276. Q2 5:31
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-49
  277. Q2 5:31
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
  278. Q2 5:37
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
    47-47
  279. Q2 5:45
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
    45-47
  280. Q2 5:54
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  281. Q2 5:59
    Chet Holmgren misses two point stepback jump shot
  282. Q2 6:11
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  283. Q2 6:11
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
  284. Q2 6:17
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  285. Q2 6:17
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
  286. Q2 6:17
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip layup
    45-45
  287. Q2 6:17
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  288. Q2 6:22
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point alley-oop layup
  289. Q2 6:43
    Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
  290. Q2 6:43
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-43
  291. Q2 6:43
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  292. Q2 6:43
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  293. Q2 6:43
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-43
  294. Q2 6:45
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Joe steals)
  295. Q2 6:58
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
  296. Q2 7:03
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  297. Q2 7:07
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  298. Q2 7:34
    +3
    Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    43-43
  299. Q2 7:43
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point driving hook shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
    40-43
  300. Q2 7:59
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  301. Q2 8:03
    Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 8:14
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  303. Q2 8:17
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 8:39
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
    40-41
  305. Q2 8:51
    Keldon Johnson offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
  306. Q2 8:51
    Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
  307. Q2 9:05
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  308. Q2 9:05
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  309. Q2 9:05
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  310. Q2 9:05
    Spurs delay of game violation
  311. Q2 9:07
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    38-41
  312. Q2 9:15
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  313. Q2 9:18
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 9:30
    +3
    Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)
    36-41
  315. Q2 9:32
    Alex Caruso offensive rebound
  316. Q2 9:35
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup
  317. Q2 9:48
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
    33-41
  318. Q2 10:01
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  319. Q2 10:04
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
  320. Q2 10:24
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    33-39
  321. Q2 10:26
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  322. Q2 10:29
    Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
  323. Q2 10:37
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point driving reverse layup
    33-36
  324. Q2 10:43
    Thunder turnover
  325. Q2 10:43
    Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
  326. Q2 10:45
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  327. Q2 10:47
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
  328. Q2 10:59
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    31-36
  329. Q2 11:16
    +2
    Alex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Kenrich Williams assists)
    31-34
  330. Q2 11:36
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    29-34
  331. Q2 11:37
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  332. Q2 11:41
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  333. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  334. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  335. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  336. Q1 00:07
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point driving layup
    29-31
  337. Q1 00:28
    +2
    Cason Wallace makes two point running finger roll layup
    29-29
  338. Q1 00:32
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  339. Q1 00:35
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
  340. Q1 00:47
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  341. Q1 00:47
    Jalen Williams personal foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  342. Q1 00:47
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  343. Q1 00:48
    Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Julian Champagnie steals)
  344. Q1 1:01
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point driving dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    27-29
  345. Q1 1:08
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  346. Q1 1:11
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  347. Q1 1:27
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  348. Q1 1:30
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  349. Q1 1:42
    +3
    Aaron Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot
    27-27
  350. Q1 1:54
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup
    24-27
  351. Q1 2:01
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  352. Q1 2:05
    Jalen Williams misses three point running jump shot
  353. Q1 2:11
    Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)
  354. Q1 2:27
    +3
    Chet Holmgren makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
    24-25
  355. Q1 2:42
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    21-25
  356. Q1 2:51
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  357. Q1 2:54
    Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
  358. Q1 3:04
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  359. Q1 3:20
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
    21-23
  360. Q1 3:35
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
  361. Q1 3:35
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  362. Q1 3:50
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point reverse layup (Dylan Harper assists)
    19-23
  363. Q1 4:05
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point driving layup (Jalen Williams assists)
    19-21
  364. Q1 4:14
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dylan Harper assists)
    17-21
  365. Q1 4:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  366. Q1 4:29
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
  367. Q1 4:29
    Spurs defensive rebound
  368. Q1 4:30
    Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
  369. Q1 4:45
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    17-19
  370. Q1 4:56
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  371. Q1 4:56
    +2
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    17-16
  372. Q1 4:56
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  373. Q1 4:56
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  374. Q1 5:07
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  375. Q1 5:11
    Dylan Harper misses two point driving floating jump shot
  376. Q1 5:19
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
  377. Q1 5:25
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  378. Q1 5:28
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  379. Q1 5:31
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  380. Q1 5:34
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  381. Q1 5:42
    Jalen Williams turnover (lost ball) (Dylan Harper steals)
  382. Q1 5:45
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  383. Q1 5:51
    Keldon Johnson misses two point turnaround bank jump shot
  384. Q1 6:15
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    15-16
  385. Q1 6:20
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  386. Q1 6:20
    Stephon Castle personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
  387. Q1 6:37
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    13-16
  388. Q1 6:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  389. Q1 6:53
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot
    13-13
  390. Q1 7:08
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point putback layup
    11-13
  391. Q1 7:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  392. Q1 7:08
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  393. Q1 7:08
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  394. Q1 7:08
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  395. Q1 7:10
    Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
  396. Q1 7:17
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  397. Q1 7:19
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point turnaround hook shot
  398. Q1 7:37
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point layup (Stephon Castle assists)
    11-11
  399. Q1 7:47
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  400. Q1 7:51
    Luke Kornet blocks Jalen Williams's two point reverse layup
  401. Q1 8:05
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving reverse layup
    11-9
  402. Q1 8:17
    +2
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    11-7
  403. Q1 8:32
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point running layup
    9-7
  404. Q1 8:38
    Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  405. Q1 8:38
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  406. Q1 8:49
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    9-5
  407. Q1 8:58
    +2
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point alley-oop layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    9-2
  408. Q1 9:12
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  409. Q1 9:16
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point stepback jump shot
  410. Q1 9:18
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  411. Q1 9:23
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  412. Q1 9:23
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  413. Q1 9:23
    Luguentz Dort shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  414. Q1 9:23
    Spurs offensive rebound
  415. Q1 9:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  416. Q1 9:35
    Spurs defensive rebound
  417. Q1 9:37
    Luguentz Dort misses three point running pullup jump shot
  418. Q1 9:41
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  419. Q1 9:43
    Chet Holmgren blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving layup
  420. Q1 9:57
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    7-2
  421. Q1 10:06
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  422. Q1 10:12
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 10:24
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    4-2
  424. Q1 10:24
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  425. Q1 10:24
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    5-2
  426. Q1 10:27
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point running alley-oop dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    2-2
  427. Q1 10:29
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  428. Q1 10:39
    Chet Holmgren misses two point pullup jump shot
  429. Q1 10:53
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 10:53
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  431. Q1 10:56
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  432. Q1 11:01
    Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
  433. Q1 11:11
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  434. Q1 11:21
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  435. Q1 11:24
    Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
  436. Q1 11:39
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
    2-0
  437. Q1 11:43
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  438. Q1 11:45
    Chet Holmgren misses two point pullup jump shot
  439. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  440. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  441. Q1 12:00
    Chet Holmgren vs. Luke Kornet (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
  442. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
  • Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -230, Spurs +205

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 69%
  • Spurs: 31%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 120-115 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 69%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 31%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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