...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
UMBC vs. Morgan State prediction: Why UMBC is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get UMBC vs Morgan State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 6:00PM ET as UMBC takes on Morgan State in men's college basketball action at Talmadge L. Hill Field House.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects UMBC as the most likely winner of the UMBC vs. Morgan State game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UMBC vs. Morgan State prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between UMBC and Morgan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives UMBC a 62% chance of beating Morgan State. Our predicted final score has UMBC winning 82-79.
According to our model, Morgan State (+3.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
UMBC vs. Morgan State odds
We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UMBC | Morgan State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-118) | +3.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -166 | +152 |
| Total | o164.5 (-105) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UMBC vs. Morgan State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Morgan State +3.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | UMBC | -166 |
| Total | Under 164.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 164.5 total points.
UMBC vs. Morgan State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Morgan State and UMBC at Talmadge L. Hill Field House is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: UMBC vs. Morgan State
- Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Talmadge L. Hill Field House
Conclusion
We predict UMBC, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Morgan State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UMBC vs. Morgan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure