UMBC vs. Dayton prediction: Dayton favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/8/2025]

Dayton and UMBC will lock horns in men's college basketball action at UD Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 2:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Dayton as the most likely winner of the UMBC vs. Dayton game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UMBC vs. Dayton prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between UMBC and Dayton 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Dayton a 98% chance of beating UMBC. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 88-63.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and UMBC and Dayton each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

UMBC vs. Dayton odds

We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UMBC vs. Dayton picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 154.5 total points.

UMBC vs. Dayton game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Dayton and UMBC at UD Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00PM ET.

• Who: UMBC vs. Dayton
• Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
• Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: UD Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 98% win probability, will likely beat UMBC on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UMBC vs. Dayton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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