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UCLA vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get UCLA vs Michigan State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Michigan State will face UCLA in men's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on Tuesday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Michigan State as the most likely winner of the UCLA vs. Michigan State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UCLA vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between UCLA and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Michigan State an 81% chance of beating UCLA. Our predicted final score has Michigan State winning 74-65.
According to our model, Michigan State (-8.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 139.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
UCLA vs. Michigan State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UCLA | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +350 | -425 |
| Total | o139.5 (-110) | u139.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UCLA vs. Michigan State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan State -8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Michigan State | -425 |
| Total | Under 139.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Michigan State -8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
UCLA vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Michigan State and UCLA at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: UCLA vs. Michigan State
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat UCLA on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UCLA vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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