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UAB vs. USF prediction: South Florida favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/4/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get UAB vs USF predictions for college basketball Sunday.

UAB-USF Predictions and Game Preview.
UAB vs. USF men's college basketball prediction for Sunday, January 4, 2026.

USF and UAB are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Yuengling Center on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts South Florida as the most likely winner of the UAB vs. USF game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UAB vs. USF prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between UAB and USF 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives South Florida a 77% chance of beating UAB. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 83-75.

According to our model, South Florida (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

UAB vs. USF odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type UAB USF
Spread +8.5 (-110) -8.5 (-108)
Moneyline +315 -375
Total o163.5 (-110) u163.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UAB vs. USF picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread South Florida -8.5 -108
Moneyline UAB +315
Total Under 163.5 -110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Florida -8.5 at the spread.

 

UAB vs. USF game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's men's college basketball matchup between USF and UAB at Yuengling Center is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

  • Who: UAB vs. South Florida
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Yuengling Center

Conclusion

We predict South Florida, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat UAB on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UAB vs. South Florida insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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