Troy vs. UAB prediction: UAB favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/14/2025]

UAB will take on Troy in men's college basketball action at Bartow Arena on Sunday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects UAB as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. UAB game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Troy vs. UAB prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Troy and UAB 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives UAB a 75% chance of beating Troy. Our predicted final score has UAB winning 82-74.

According to our model, UAB (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 155.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Troy vs. UAB odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Troy vs. UAB picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: