Troy vs. Texas State prediction: Why Troy is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/11/2026]

Texas State will take on the favored Troy in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Wednesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Troy as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. Texas State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Troy vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Troy and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Troy a 64% chance of defeating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 73-70.

According to our model, Texas State (+5.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 140.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Troy vs. Texas State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Troy vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas State +5.5 at the spread.

Troy vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas State and Troy at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Troy vs. Texas State
• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Troy, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Troy vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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