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Troy vs. Southern Miss prediction: Troy favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Troy vs Southern Miss predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Southern Miss will face the favored Troy in men's college basketball action at Reed Green Coliseum on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Troy as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. Southern Miss game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Troy vs. Southern Miss prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Troy and Southern Miss 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Troy a 66% chance of beating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 75-71.
According to our model, Southern Miss (+5.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Troy vs. Southern Miss odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Troy | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +190 |
| Total | o144.5 (-110) | u144.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Troy vs. Southern Miss picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Miss +5.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Southern Miss | +190 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Southern Miss +5.5 at the spread.
Troy vs. Southern Miss game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Southern Miss and Troy at Reed Green Coliseum is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Troy vs. Southern Miss
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Troy, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Southern Miss on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Troy vs. Southern Miss insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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