Troy vs. Georgia State prediction: Troy favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/4/2026]

Georgia State will face the favored Troy in men's college basketball action at Georgia State Convocation Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Troy as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. Georgia State game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Troy vs. Georgia State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Troy and Georgia State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Troy a 69% chance of defeating Georgia State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 76-71.

According to our model, Georgia State (+6.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Troy vs. Georgia State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Troy vs. Georgia State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: