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Troy vs. Cal State Northridge prediction: Why Troy is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Troy vs Cal State Northridge predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Cal State Northridge will square off with Troy in men's college basketball action at Premier America Credit Union Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Troy as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. Cal State Northridge game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Troy vs. Cal State Northridge prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Troy and Cal State Northridge 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Troy a 64% chance of defeating Cal State Northridge. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 79-75.
According to our model, Cal State Northridge (+4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Troy vs. Cal State Northridge odds
We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Troy | Cal State Northridge |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -190 | +164 |
| Total | o156.5 (-110) | u156.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Troy vs. Cal State Northridge picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cal State Northridge +4.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Troy | -190 |
| Total | Under 156.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cal State Northridge +4.5 at the spread.
Troy vs. Cal State Northridge game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Cal State Northridge and Troy at Premier America Credit Union Arena is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Troy vs. Cal State Northridge
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Premier America Credit Union Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Troy, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Cal State Northridge on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Troy vs. Cal State Northridge insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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