Raptors vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [1/25/2026]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Paycom Center on Sunday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Joe, while the Raptors will look to Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Raptors vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 80% chance of defeating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 116-106.

According to our model, the Raptors (+11) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 225.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Raptors vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raptors	Thunder
Spread	+11 (-110)	-11 (-110)
Moneyline	+400	-510
Total	o225.5 (-110)	u225.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Raptors vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Raptors +11	-110
Moneyline	Raptors	+400
Total	Under 225.5	-106

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +11 at the spread.

Raptors vs. Thunder player props

Betting on Raptors vs. Thunder NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Raptors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brandon Ingram	20	6	3	2	38
Scottie Barnes	18	9	5	1	43
I. Quickley	16	4	6	3	35
RJ Barrett	14	4	3	1	27
S. Mamukelashvili	11	6	2	2	27

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	4	7	2	53
Chet Holmgren	19	9	2	1	40
Isaiah Joe	12	3	2	3	23
Aaron Wiggins	11	4	2	2	25
Luguentz Dort	10	4	1	2	22

Raptors vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Thunder and Raptors at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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