...
...
Read Article
- Predictions
Raptors vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Thunder NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
101
Jan 26, 12AM Paycom Center
Jan 26, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 25 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 103 |
Thunder | 30 | 20 | 31 | 21 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
69%
31%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 25 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 103 |
Thunder | 30 | 20 | 31 | 21 | 101 |
Q4 00:00 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:04 Thunder makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
Q4 4:24 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:35 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-102
End of 4th Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-99
Jamal Shead misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jamal Shead misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-99
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
101-97
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
98-97
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-97
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Thunder challenge timeout
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
93-96
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
93-94
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
89-94
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-92
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-92
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-92
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-92
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Ousmane Dieng)
Instant replay
Raptors lineup change (Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Ousmane Dieng)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-90
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley)
Thunder defensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Gradey Dick, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
86-85
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-83
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
81-81
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
79-81
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Ousmane Dieng)
Raptors personal foul
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-81
Raptors personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-78
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-79
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Ousmane Dieng)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-77
Thunder turnover
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-75
Raptors personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-72
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
70-71
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-71
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
68-68
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-68
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Sandro Mamukelashvili, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-64
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Sandro Mamukelashvili, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-59
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Ousmane Dieng)
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Scottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
61-58
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-58
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-55
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
59-52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Brandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Raptors offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
54-50
Raptors personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-50
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
51-49
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
49-49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
45-47
Raptors offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji turnover (bad pass)
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-39
+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-36
+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-36
Raptors personal foul
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-36
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-36
Raptors personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley)
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-33
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-32
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-32
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
30-30
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Immanuel Quickley offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
25-30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-30
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-22
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-23
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-21
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-21
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Ochai Agbaji, Gradey Dick, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, RJ Barrett)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
18-21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
16-15
Thunder personal foul
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Immanuel Quickley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
9-8
Raptors offensive rebound
Raptors 60 second timeout
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-6
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
7-1
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
5-1
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Scottie Barnes vs. Chet Holmgren (Jaylin Williams gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 14 | J. Walter | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 3 | B. Ingram | 13 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 4 | S. Barnes | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| G | 23 | J. Shead | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 5 | I. Quickley | 23 | 11 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 24 | 3 | 6 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 10 | 1 | 2 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 15 | 5 | 1 |
| C | 7 | C. Holmgren | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
Loading...
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Raptors vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Raptors vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -11
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Raptors +400, Thunder -480
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Raptors: 20%
- Thunder: 80%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 107-117 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 20%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 80%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Raptors vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article