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Raptors vs. Bucks prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Fiserv Forum on Thursday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Bucks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bucks lineup will feature players like Kevin Porter, Bobby Portis and Ryan Rollins, while the Raptors will be led by Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Bucks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Bucks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Raptors a 67% chance of beating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 111-107.
According to our model, the Raptors (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Raptors vs. Bucks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -185 | +160 |
| Total | o218.5 (-106) | u218.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Bucks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -185 |
| Total | Over 218.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
Raptors vs. Bucks player props
Betting on Raptors vs. Bucks NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Fiserv Forum.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Porter is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists for the Bucks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 24 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 45 |
| Scottie Barnes | 21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 49 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Ochai Agbaji | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Bucks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bucks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 45 |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| Ryan Rollins | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Gary Trent | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| Myles Turner | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 |
Raptors vs. Bucks game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Bucks and Raptors at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Thursday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Bucks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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