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Raptors vs. Bucks prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Fiserv Forum on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Bucks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bucks lineup will feature players like Kevin Porter, Ryan Rollins and Kyle Kuzma, while the Raptors will look to Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Bucks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Raptors and Bucks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Raptors a 66% chance of beating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 112-107.
According to our model, the Raptors (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Raptors vs. Bucks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -172 | +145 |
| Total | o219.5 (-108) | u219.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Bucks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -172 |
| Total | Over 219.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
Raptors vs. Bucks player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Toronto vs. Milwaukee game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Fiserv Forum.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Porter is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists for the Bucks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 25 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 45 |
| Scottie Barnes | 21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 49 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Bucks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bucks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 45 |
| Ryan Rollins | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Bobby Portis | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Gary Trent | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Raptors vs. Bucks game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Bucks and Raptors at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Thursday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Bucks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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