NBA picks today: Thursday's best bets include Wizards vs. Spurs play [12/18/2025]

Wizards +14.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +14.5 at -105 odds. A 57.8% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Clippers +16.5 (-105)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Clippers +16.5 carries a 5.2% edge and a probability of 56.4% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Pelicans +9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Pelicans +9.5 vs. Rockets at -105 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 55.2% probability in simulations.

Lakers vs. Jazz under 243.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 3.0% edge and 54.2% probability make Lakers vs. Jazz under 243.5 points at a value play in the Lakers vs. Jazz matchup, per our model.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers under 237.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Kings vs. Trail Blazers under 237.5 points at -106 odds presents a 2.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.2%.

Wizards ML (+700)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Wizards to win at +700 odds, supported by an edge of 2.4%.

Pelicans ML (+360)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 24.1%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pelicans ML at +360 odds. A 24.1% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

NBA best bets summary: Thursday, 12/18/2025

As of 9:33AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Wizards vs. Spurs	Wizards +14.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.6%	57.8%
Clippers vs. Thunder	Clippers +16.5	-105 @ BetMGM	5.2%	56.4%
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans +9.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.0%	55.2%
Lakers vs. Jazz	Under 243.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	3.0%	54.2%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Under 237.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	2.7%	54.2%
Wizards vs. Spurs	Wizards ML	+700 @ DraftKings	2.4%	14.9%
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans ML	+360 @ FanDuel	2.4%	24.1%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/18/2025]

• Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Knicks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Clippers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Pistons vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Lakers vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Magic vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Warriors vs. Suns (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 18, 2025, featuring plays such as Wizards +14.5 and Clippers +16.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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