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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [3/2/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs-Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions and Game Preview.
PPG Paints Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins this Sunday.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Toronto-Pittsburgh game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 60%, while the Penguins have 40%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Penguins predictions page.

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Maple Leafs vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 60% chance of defeating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:15PM, Mar 2
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Maple Leafs
Win %
60%
40%
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See Matchup
Penguins
Maple Leafs TOR
Win %
60%
40%
See Matchup
Penguins PIT
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Penguins
Puck Line -1.5 (+126) +1.5 (-148)
Moneyline -192 +165
Total o6.5 (+100) u6.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Matthews a 9.3% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 43.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 9.3%
William Nylander 6.8%
Matthew Knies 5.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 7.1%
Bryan Rust 5.5%
Rickard Rakell 5.3%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 43.8%
William Nylander 35.7%
Matthew Knies 29.3%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 36.3%
Bryan Rust 31.4%
Rickard Rakell 28.8%

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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