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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [3/2/2025]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Toronto-Pittsburgh game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 60%, while the Penguins have 40%."
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Penguins predictions page.
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Maple Leafs vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 60% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Penguins |
---|---|---|
Puck Line | -1.5 (+126) | +1.5 (-148) |
Moneyline | -192 | +165 |
Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.3% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 43.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
Player | First Goal Probability |
---|---|
Auston Matthews | 9.3% |
William Nylander | 6.8% |
Matthew Knies | 5.9% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Player | First Goal Probability |
---|---|
Sidney Crosby | 7.1% |
Bryan Rust | 5.5% |
Rickard Rakell | 5.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
---|---|
Auston Matthews | 43.8% |
William Nylander | 35.7% |
Matthew Knies | 29.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
---|---|
Sidney Crosby | 36.3% |
Bryan Rust | 31.4% |
Rickard Rakell | 28.8% |
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's game between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toronto vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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