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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction: Florida Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [5/11/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs-Florida Panthers Predictions and Game Preview.
Amerant Bank Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers this Sunday.

The Florida Panthers will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Amerant Bank Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Panthers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Toronto-Florida game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Panthers with a win probability of 59%, while the Maple Leafs have 41%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions page.

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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Maple Leafs and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Panthers a 59% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, May 11
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Maple Leafs
Win %
41%
59%
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See Matchup
Panthers
Maple Leafs TOR
Win %
41%
59%
See Matchup
Panthers FLA
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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Panthers
Puck Line +1.5 (-155) -1.5 (+130)
Moneyline +170 -200
Total o6 (-105) u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Panthers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Matthews an 8.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Amerant Bank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 39.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 8.8%
William Nylander 5.6%
Mitch Marner 5.0%

Florida Panthers

Player First Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart 8.2%
Carter Verhaeghe 6.6%
Matthew Tkachuk 6.2%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 39.1%
William Nylander 30.5%
John Tavares 28.4%

Florida Panthers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart 36.7%
Carter Verhaeghe 32.8%
Matthew Tkachuk 30.3%

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Panthers and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Maple Leafs and Panthers, reached the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Maple Leafs vs. Panthers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Florida picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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