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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL game on May 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
0
2
May 11, 11:30PM Amerant Bank Arena
May 11, 11:30PM Amerant Bank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Panthers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Panthers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 18:47 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 18:37 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 18:36 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 17:40 Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 17:32 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 17:23 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 16:42 Tomas Nosek shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
P3 16:40 Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 15:57 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 15:42 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brad Marchand
P3 14:15 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:13 Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
P3 13:59 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P3 13:29 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 12:09 Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P3 11:34 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:54 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 08:27 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 07:26 Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Aaron Ekblad in offensive zone
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Giveaway by Seth Jones in defensive zone
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Mitch Marner
John Tavares credited with hit on Aaron Ekblad in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Tomas Nosek shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by William Nylander
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Anton Lundell
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brad Marchand
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Seth Jones in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Nate Schmidt in neutral zone
Giveaway by Nate Schmidt in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Seth Jones in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton shot blocked by Nate Schmidt
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Matthew Knies credited with hit on Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Video Review
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Giveaway by Matthew Tkachuk in defensive zone
Max Pacioretty credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
A.J. Greer credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Nosek saved by Joseph Woll
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Niko Mikkola saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shorthanded - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Penalty to Anton Lundell 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Max Domi won faceoff against A.J. Greer in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Joseph Woll
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tomas Nosek)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by William Nylander)
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Gustav Forsling in offensive zone
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
SHOT
Anton Lundell shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brad Marchand
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
William Nylander won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jones
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Penalty to Eetu Luostarinen 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Niko Mikkola saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Bobby McMann
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Niko Mikkola saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Seth Jones in offensive zone
Niko Mikkola credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Matthew Tkachuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Max Pacioretty credited with hit on Gustav Forsling in offensive zone
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by teammate
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Sam Reinhart credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Carter Verhaeghe)
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Anton Lundell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nate Schmidt
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Carter Verhaeghe)
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Kulikov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Nate Schmidt
Scott Laughton won faceoff against A.J. Greer in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Giveaway by Sam Bennett in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Evan Rodrigues
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nate Schmidt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nate Schmidt
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Matthew Tkachuk)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Christopher Tanev
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Brad Marchand in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 64% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 27 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 26 | |||
| 47 | Hits | 40 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 64% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 27 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 26 | |||
| 47 | Hits | 40 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +175, Panthers -196
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 41%
- Panthers: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 41%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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