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Maple Leafs vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [2/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Edmonton Oilers and Toronto mapleleafs will lock horns in the NHL at Rogers Place on Tuesday, with puck drop at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Oilers game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Oilers a 60% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-148) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -190 |
| Total | o6.5 (-154) | u6.5 (+136) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs +1.5 | -148 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | +160 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +136 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 45.6% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 40.8% |
| William Nylander | 35.4% |
| John Tavares | 28.5% |
| Bobby McMann | 24.5% |
| Matthew Knies | 23.5% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 45.6% |
| Connor McDavid | 43.1% |
| Zach Hyman | 39.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.0% |
| Jack Roslovic | 21.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.8% |
| William Nylander | 5.9% |
| John Tavares | 5.5% |
| Bobby McMann | 4.2% |
| Matthew Knies | 4.0% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.5% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.7% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.9% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.5% |
| Jack Roslovic | 3.7% |
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Oilers and Maple Leafs at Rogers Place is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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