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Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [11/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns with the Chicago Blackhawks at United Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Maple Leafs a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Blackhawks.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Maple Leafs and Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+200) | +1.5 (-220) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +110 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -220 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +110 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -110 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, William Nylander is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Nylander a 42.9% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 42.9% |
| John Tavares | 39.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 32.8% |
| Bobby McMann | 21.2% |
| Nicholas Robertson | 20.4% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 39.1% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 32.1% |
| Ryan Donato | 26.9% |
| Frank Nazar | 26.5% |
| Andre Burakovsky | 24.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | 8.3% |
| John Tavares | 7.6% |
| Matthew Knies | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Robertson | 3.7% |
| Bobby McMann | 3.7% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 7.8% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 5.9% |
| Ryan Donato | 5.0% |
| Frank Nazar | 4.7% |
| Andre Burakovsky | 4.3% |
Maple Leafs vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Blackhawks and Maple Leafs at United Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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