Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/4/2025]

The Carolina Hurricanes and Toronto mapleleafs will meet in the NHL at Lenovo Center on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Hurricanes as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Maple Leafs vs. Canes prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Hurricanes 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Hurricanes a 61% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Hurricanes
Puck Line	+1.5 (-145)	-1.5 (+124)
Moneyline	+165	-198
Total	o6 (-130)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-145
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+165
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs +1.5 at the spread.

Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes player props

Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes.

Our projections give Matthews a 39.1% chance of scoring a goal at Lenovo Center, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	39.1%
William Nylander	33.5%
John Tavares	33.2%
Matthew Knies	24.2%
Bobby McMann	17.3%

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Seth Jarvis	37.6%
Sebastian Aho	29.4%
Nikolaj Ehlers	28.0%
Andrei Svechnikov	27.2%
Logan Stankoven	22.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	7.5%
John Tavares	6.7%
William Nylander	6.1%
Matthew Knies	4.3%
Bobby McMann	3.1%

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	First Goal Probability
Seth Jarvis	8.2%
Sebastian Aho	5.4%
Andrei Svechnikov	5.4%
Nikolaj Ehlers	5.0%
Taylor Hall	3.9%

Maple Leafs vs. Canes game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Hurricanes and Maple Leafs at Lenovo Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes
• Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Lenovo Center

Conclusion

We predict the Hurricanes, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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