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Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes NHL game on December 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
1
Dec 5, 12AM Lenovo Center
Dec 5, 12AM Lenovo Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Hurricanes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Hurricanes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:54 Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
P3 19:10 Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P3 19:07 Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P3 18:16 Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Nicolas Roy (Empty Net)
P3 17:50 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 17:10 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 16:34 Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 15:46 Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:58 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 13:56 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:55 Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 12:49 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 12:14 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 11:58 Easton Cowan shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:20 Jordan Martinook shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:48 Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:28 Power play - Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 09:51 Power play - Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 09:29 Power play - Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 09:22 Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
SHOT
Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Scott Laughton
SHOT
Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Joel Nystrom in neutral zone
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Nicolas Roy (Empty Net)
5-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
John Tavares won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Dennis Hildeby
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Shorthanded - Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Frederik Andersen
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
Penalty to Jalen Chatfield 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Matthew Knies)
SHOT
Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Frederik Andersen
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Jordan Martinook shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Dennis Hildeby
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
SHOT
Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Dakota Joshua shot blocked by Taylor Hall
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Hall
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Eric Robinson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Dennis Hildeby
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jalen Chatfield saved by Dennis Hildeby
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Dennis Hildeby
Giveaway by Easton Cowan in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Jankowski saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Knies shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Frederik Andersen
Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Andrei Svechnikov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by William Nylander)
SHOT
Shot missed by William Carrier
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
Maple Leafs replaced goalie. (Dennis Hildeby)
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Frederik Andersen
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Jackson Blake
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Reilly
SHOT
Mike Reilly shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
SHOT
Taylor Hall shot blocked by teammate
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by William Carrier
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Reilly
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Joseph Woll
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Max Domi and Matthew Knies
4-1
Takeaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
Takeaway by Sean Walker in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Frederik Andersen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Hall
Giveaway by Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Eric Robinson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Andrei Svechnikov
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
John Tavares won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Frederik Andersen
Giveaway by Shayne Gostisbehere in defensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Frederik Andersen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Philippe Myers
John Tavares won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Eric Robinson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Jankowski
SHOT
Joel Nystrom shot blocked by teammate
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Max Domi
3-1
SHOT
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by Troy Stecher
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Eric Robinson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Nystrom saved by Joseph Woll
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Eric Robinson in defensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Eric Robinson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Giveaway by Sean Walker in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jordan Staal credited with hit on Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shayne Gostisbehere saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolaj Ehlers
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Taylor Hall
Power play - Giveaway by Shayne Gostisbehere in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Troy Stecher in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
Power play - Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Walker
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Martinook saved by Joseph Woll
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Frederik Andersen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Eric Robinson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Seth Jarvis assisted by Shayne Gostisbehere and Sebastian Aho
2-1
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Power play - Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Power play - Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by Jake McCabe
William Carrier credited with hit on Troy Stecher in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
SHOT
Logan Stankoven shot blocked by teammate
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Eric Robinson credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Staal
Simon Benoit credited with hit on William Carrier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Walker
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by William Carrier
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Stankoven saved by Joseph Woll
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Carrier saved by Joseph Woll
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Joseph Woll
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shayne Gostisbehere saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Shayne Gostisbehere
SHOT
Shot missed by Jalen Chatfield
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jalen Chatfield
Seth Jarvis won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Nikolaj Ehlers in neutral zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Nicolas Roy and Jake McCabe
1-0
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 4 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 4 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
Game Prediction Article
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Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes
- Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Lenovo Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hurricanes favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +175, Hurricanes -195
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 39%
- Hurricanes: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 39%, while the Hurricanes have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hurricanes are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Lenovo Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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