Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Lightning NHL game on December 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
4
3
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 2 1 4
Lightning
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 2 1 4
Lightning
0 1 2 3
P3 19:56 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 19:53 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 19:33 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:25 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 19:04 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel
P3 19:03 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:36 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:25 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 18:24 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:12 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:17 Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Thomas Novak and Anthony Mantha
P3 16:50 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 16:44 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:13 Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P3 14:54 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:38 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:28 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:51 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 12:25 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:10 Shot missed by Bokondji Imama
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  3. P3 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  4. P3 19:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
  5. P3 19:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  6. P3 19:16
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  7. P3 19:04
    Stoppage - Video Review
  8. P3 19:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel
    4-4
  9. P3 19:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  10. P3 18:53
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  11. P3 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
  12. P3 18:25
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Kris Letang
  13. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
  14. P3 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  15. P3 17:17
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  16. P3 17:17
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Thomas Novak and Anthony Mantha
    4-3
  17. P3 16:53
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  18. P3 16:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  19. P3 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Jonas Johansson
  20. P3 16:46
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  21. P3 16:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  22. P3 16:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Tristan Jarry
  23. P3 16:21
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  24. P3 16:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  25. P3 15:51
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  26. P3 15:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  27. P3 15:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
  28. P3 14:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
  29. P3 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
  30. P3 13:40
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  31. P3 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
  32. P3 12:54
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  33. P3 12:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  34. P3 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  35. P3 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jonas Johansson
  36. P3 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bokondji Imama
  37. P3 11:58
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  38. P3 11:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  39. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  40. P3 11:44
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  41. P3 11:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nick Paul and Gage Goncalves
    3-3
  42. P3 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  43. P3 11:21
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  44. P3 11:12
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  45. P3 11:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  46. P3 09:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Tristan Jarry
  47. P3 09:10
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  48. P3 09:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 09:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jonas Johansson
  50. P3 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  51. P3 08:42
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
  52. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Sidney Crosby shot blocked by teammate
  53. P3 08:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
  54. P3 07:09
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  55. P3 07:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  57. P3 07:00
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  58. P3 07:00
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  59. P3 07:00
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
  60. P3 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jonas Johansson
  61. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  62. P3 06:39
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  63. P3 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Tristan Jarry
  64. P3 05:43
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  65. P3 05:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  66. P3 05:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  67. P3 04:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  68. P3 04:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Tristan Jarry
  69. P3 04:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  70. P3 04:10
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  71. P3 04:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  72. P3 04:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Tristan Jarry
  73. P3 03:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  74. P3 03:18
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  75. P3 03:18
    Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by J.J. Moser)
  76. P3 02:50
    SHOT
    Penguins shot blocked by Ville Koivunen
  77. P3 02:23
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Dominic James
  78. P3 01:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jonas Johansson
  79. P3 01:17
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  80. P3 01:17
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Darren Raddysh
    3-2
  81. P3 01:04
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  82. P3 01:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P3 01:02
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  84. P3 00:13
    Kevin Hayes credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  85. P3 00:03
    Kevin Hayes credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  86. P3 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  87. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  88. P2 19:53
    Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
  89. P2 19:41
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  90. P2 19:37
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  91. P2 19:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  92. P2 18:46
    Dominic James won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  93. P2 18:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Jake Guentzel
    3-1
  94. P2 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jonas Johansson
  95. P2 18:22
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  96. P2 18:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  97. P2 18:17
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  98. P2 18:17
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  99. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  100. P2 18:00
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  101. P2 18:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Tristan Jarry
  103. P2 17:09
    Dominic James won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  104. P2 17:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P2 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Tristan Jarry
  106. P2 15:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  107. P2 15:48
    Shorthanded - Connor Clifton credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
  108. P2 15:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  109. P2 15:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  110. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  111. P2 14:02
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  112. P2 14:02
    Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Emil Lilleberg)
  113. P2 14:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  114. P2 13:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  115. P2 13:22
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  116. P2 13:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  117. P2 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  118. P2 12:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Tristan Jarry
  119. P2 12:30
    Ryan Shea credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  120. P2 12:17
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  121. P2 12:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P2 12:15
    Power play - Kris Letang credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  123. P2 12:14
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Tristan Jarry
  124. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  125. P2 11:34
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  126. P2 11:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  127. P2 11:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  128. P2 10:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Jonas Johansson
  129. P2 10:16
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  130. P2 10:16
    Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Interference
  131. P2 09:49
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  132. P2 09:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Erik Karlsson and Evgeni Malkin
    3-0
  133. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  134. P2 09:37
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  135. P2 09:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P2 09:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
  137. P2 09:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  138. P2 09:13
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  139. P2 09:13
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
  140. P2 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Tristan Jarry
  141. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Max Crozier
  142. P2 08:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Graves
  143. P2 08:09
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  144. P2 08:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  145. P2 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  146. P2 07:53
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  147. P2 07:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
    2-0
  148. P2 07:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  149. P2 07:17
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  150. P2 07:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  151. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  152. P2 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jonas Johansson
  153. P2 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  154. P2 06:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Tristan Jarry
  155. P2 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  156. P2 05:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  157. P2 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
  158. P2 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  159. P2 02:55
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  160. P2 02:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  161. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  162. P2 02:19
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Connor Clifton in neutral zone
  163. P2 02:13
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Ryan Graves
  164. P2 02:11
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  165. P2 02:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  166. P2 01:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  167. P2 01:15
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  168. P2 01:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  169. P2 00:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  170. P2 00:03
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jonas Johansson
  171. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  172. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  173. P1 19:36
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  174. P1 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
  175. P1 18:29
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  176. P1 18:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  177. P1 18:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  178. P1 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
  179. P1 18:05
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  180. P1 18:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  181. P1 18:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
  182. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  183. P1 17:26
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  184. P1 17:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  185. P1 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
  186. P1 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  187. P1 16:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  188. P1 15:56
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  189. P1 15:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  190. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jonas Johansson
  191. P1 13:58
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  192. P1 13:58
    Penalty to Ryan Graves 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Dominic James)
  193. P1 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Tristan Jarry
  194. P1 13:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
  195. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  196. P1 12:49
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  197. P1 12:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  198. P1 12:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  199. P1 11:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  200. P1 11:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Paul
  201. P1 11:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
  202. P1 11:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Tristan Jarry
  203. P1 11:14
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  204. P1 10:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  205. P1 09:53
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
  206. P1 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  207. P1 08:36
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
  208. P1 07:48
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  209. P1 07:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  210. P1 07:41
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  211. P1 07:41
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  212. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  213. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Tristan Jarry
  214. P1 06:16
    Max Crozier credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
  215. P1 06:12
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  216. P1 06:12
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Ville Koivunen assisted by Kris Letang and Thomas Novak
    1-0
  217. P1 05:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Tristan Jarry
  218. P1 05:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Tristan Jarry
  219. P1 05:25
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  220. P1 05:25
    Stoppage - Offside
  221. P1 04:59
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  222. P1 04:59
    Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Ben Kindel)
  223. P1 04:33
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  224. P1 04:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  225. P1 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  226. P1 04:28
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  227. P1 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
  228. P1 04:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jonas Johansson
  229. P1 04:00
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  230. P1 04:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  231. P1 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
  232. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  233. P1 02:36
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  234. P1 02:36
    Penalty to Curtis Douglas 2 minutes for Misconduct
  235. P1 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jonas Johansson
  236. P1 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
  237. P1 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  238. P1 00:19
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  239. P1 00:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  240. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Tristan Jarry
  241. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde
  242. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Lightning
31Shots on Goal40
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
21Hits13
14 Shots Blocked 4
13Giveaways20
PenguinsPIT
LightningTB
31Shots on Goal40
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
21Hits13
14 Shots Blocked 4
13Giveaways20

Penguins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +135, Lightning -155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 40%
  • Lightning: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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