Maple Leafs vs. Sabres prediction: Toronto favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [10/24/2025]

The Buffalo Sabres and Toronto mapleleafs will lock horns in the NHL at KeyBank Center on Friday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Sabres game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Sabres 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of beating the Sabres.

According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 52% chance of going over.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Sabres
Puck Line	-1.5 (+195)	+1.5 (-225)
Moneyline	-120	+108
Total	o6 (-130)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres picks and best bet

Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in our NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Sabres +1.5	-225
Moneyline	Sabres	+108
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sabres moneyline.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres player props

Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres.

Our projections give Matthews a 45.0% chance of scoring a goal at KeyBank Center, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	45.0%
William Nylander	36.1%
John Tavares	34.7%
Matthew Knies	31.7%
Bobby McMann	20.9%

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	41.3%
Alex Tuch	32.8%
Zach Benson	26.0%
Jason Zucker	24.4%
Jack Quinn	22.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.8%
William Nylander	7.0%
John Tavares	6.5%
Matthew Knies	6.0%
Bobby McMann	3.2%

Buffalo Sabres

Player	First Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	8.9%
Alex Tuch	6.6%
Zach Benson	5.1%
Ryan McLeod	4.0%
Jason Zucker	3.7%

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres
• Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: KeyBank Center

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Sabres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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