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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL game on October 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
3
5
Oct 24, 11PM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Oct 24, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2013
Sabres
2215
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2013
Sabres
2215
P3 20:00 Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 19:55 Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 19:51 Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:48 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:46 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:23 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:16 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 17:49 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 17:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:59 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Alex Tuch assisted by Owen Power
P3 15:55 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:42 Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 15:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 14:22 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Alex Lyon
P3 14:04 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 13:54 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:21 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 13:13 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 11:59 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Anthony Stolarz
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 19:58
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 19:55
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 19:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:48
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 19:48
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 19:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:25
John Tavares won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P3 18:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:16
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 17:49
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 17:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:59
Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 16:59
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Alex Tuch assisted by Owen Power
3-5
P3 16:51
Power play - Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P3 15:59
Shorthanded - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 15:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:55
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:42
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 15:29
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 15:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 15:23
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 15:23
Stoppage
P3 15:23
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P3 14:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Alex Lyon
P3 14:04
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 13:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 13:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 13:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 12:03
Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in offensive zone
P3 11:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 10:38
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P3 10:37
Giveaway by Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P3 10:28
Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
P3 10:25
Giveaway by Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P3 10:12
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 09:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 09:20
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 09:20
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:13
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 09:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 09:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P3 08:46
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 08:14
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 07:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:23
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 07:04
Giveaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 06:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P3 05:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 05:23
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 05:23
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 05:03
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Tage Thompson
P3 04:37
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 04:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 04:20
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 04:12
Max Domi won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P3 04:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 03:39
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 03:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:55
Max Domi won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 01:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Dakota Joshua assisted by Easton Cowan
3-4
P3 01:52
SHOT
Dakota Joshua shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 01:10
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
P3 01:08
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 01:04
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
P3 00:42
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 00:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 00:37
John Tavares won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
P3 00:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 00:21
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Conor Timmins in defensive zone
P3 00:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 00:00
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:43
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 19:43
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 19:34
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Jiri Kulich
P2 19:22
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Jiri Kulich
P2 18:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 17:52
John Tavares won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P2 17:52
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 17:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P2 17:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 16:55
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 16:55
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 15:42
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P2 15:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P2 14:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 14:24
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
P2 14:20
Alex Tuch won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 14:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:16
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 14:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Alex Lyon
P2 14:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 13:17
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 13:17
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:10
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P2 13:10
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Peyton Krebs
2-4
P2 12:26
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P2 12:20
Max Domi won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P2 12:20
Stoppage - Offside
P2 12:10
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P2 11:58
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 11:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 11:12
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P2 11:12
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
P2 11:06
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in defensive zone
P2 10:14
John Tavares won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P2 10:14
John Tavares won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P2 10:14
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 10:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Lyon
P2 09:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Lyon
P2 09:01
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P2 08:55
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 08:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:55
SHOT
Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P2 07:27
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P2 07:27
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:20
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P2 07:18
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Bowen Byram and Jiri Kulich
2-3
P2 07:05
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 06:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 06:17
SHOT
Dakota Mermis shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P2 06:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Mermis saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:49
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 05:49
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 05:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:20
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
P2 05:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 04:42
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 04:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 04:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P2 03:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 03:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Alex Lyon
P2 03:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 03:06
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Alex Lyon
P2 02:31
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P2 02:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 02:29
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P2 01:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Alex Lyon
P2 01:22
Max Domi won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:13
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 00:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 00:55
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 00:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:42
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P2 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P1 19:09
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P1 18:43
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 18:43
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 17:46
Giveaway by Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P1 17:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Alex Lyon
P1 17:17
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P1 17:11
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 17:11
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:03
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P1 17:01
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Lyon
P1 16:09
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 15:41
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P1 15:41
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 15:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
P1 15:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P1 14:54
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 14:27
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Lyon
P1 14:16
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 14:04
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 14:04
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 14:02
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 13:55
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 13:55
Stoppage
P1 13:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P1 13:45
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 13:39
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 13:26
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 13:26
Penalty to Calle Jarnkrok 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 13:23
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P1 13:23
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 12:45
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 12:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by John Tavares and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
2-2
P1 12:24
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P1 12:04
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:39
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 11:17
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 11:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 10:54
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 10:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Alex Lyon
P1 10:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 10:16
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 09:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 09:01
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 08:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Alex Lyon
P1 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:30
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Jiri Kulich
P1 08:08
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 08:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:06
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 08:01
John Tavares won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P1 08:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P1 06:12
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 06:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Jiri Kulich assisted by Zach Benson and Tage Thompson
1-2
P1 05:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Alex Lyon
P1 05:48
Max Domi won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P1 05:48
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:31
Max Domi won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P1 05:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 05:01
John Tavares won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P1 05:01
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander
1-1
P1 04:38
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 04:38
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Ryan McLeod and Alex Tuch
0-1
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:36
Takeaway by Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 03:33
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 03:33
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 03:30
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P1 03:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P1 02:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Alex Lyon
P1 02:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P1 01:21
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 00:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P1 00:41
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone
P1 00:32
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 00:32
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:25
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 00:25
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Sabres
34Shots on Goal30
58%Faceoff Win %42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins10
30Hits8
13Shots Blocked21
18Giveaways13
Maple LeafsTOR
SabresBUF
34Shots on Goal30
58%Faceoff Win %42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins10
30Hits8
13Shots Blocked21
18Giveaways13

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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
  • Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Sabres +108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 52%
  • Sabres: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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