Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction: Toronto favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/17/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays-Detroit Tigers Predictions and Game Preview.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB prediction for Sunday, May 17, 2026.

MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays lock horns with the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park.

The Tigers will start Jack Flaherty (0-4, 5.74 ERA), while the Blue Jays will counter with Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.86 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Blue Jays a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Tigers.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Blue Jays vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 51% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 57% chance of going over.

 

Blue Jays vs. Tigers odds [5/17/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blue Jays Tigers
Run Line -1.5 (+148) +1.5 (-176)
Moneyline -118 +100
Total o7.5 (-115) u7.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Tigers +1.5 -176
Moneyline Tigers +100
Total Over 7.5 -115

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Blue Jays vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Tigers and Blue Jays at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 1:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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