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Top 20 Finish Golf parlay picks at Valero Texas Open featuring Tommy Fleetwood
We've combined the Dimers data and a boost from bet365 to build a Top 20 finish golf parlay at the Valero Texas Open this weekend.

PGA TOUR betting resumes at the Valero Texas Open this weekend, teeing off on April 2 as the final event before the 2026 Masters, and along with our best bets to win, we're once again combining the Dimers golf predictions with a parlay boost at Bet365 sportsbook to capitalize this week at TPC San Antonio.
TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course is one of the TOUR's tougher tests, with dense brush, elevated greens, and thickened rough demanding precision from tee to green, and this week's forecast of cold, wind, and potential rain will only amplify those challenges.
The stakes are as high as the difficulty, with the tournament winner claiming the final Masters invitation and drawing eight of the world's top 20 despite Morikawa's late withdrawal.
In recent weeks, Dimers' golf predictions have identified Cameron Young to win THE PLAYERS and Matt Fitzpatrick to win the Valspar Championship, with pre-tournament value, as well as numerous placement props.
Placement markets are one of the most underrated ways to build a golf parlay, as the margin for error in a placement prop is wider than chasing a winner, yet the combined odds, especially with Bet365's boost, can still deliver a considerable payout.
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Dimers' golf predictions run thousands of simulations across the full tournament, giving us projected placement data for every player in the field, helping pinpoint who stands out among the rest.
2026 Valero Texas Open Top 20 parlay picks
These picks come directly from the Dimers golf predictions, which offer Top 20, Top 10, Top 5 and outright winner predictions for every PGA tournament, as well as a Head-to-Head matchup tool. Both golfers also feature in our best golf bets with various edges as well.
Combining these two data-backed picks gives us a golf parlay at +224 odds, which gets a boost to +249 thanks to our friends at Bet365 Sportsbook.
Note that we are utilizing the Top 20 (Including Ties) market to avoid dead heat reductions.
Leg 1: Tommy Fleetwood to finish Top 20
Our model's top pick to win, Tommy Fleetwood arrives as the Dimers model's top pick at 70.7% to land inside the Top 20, and the underlying numbers make that confidence easy to understand.
He's one of only eight players in the field ranking above average in SG: Approach, Par-4 Scoring, Bogey Avoidance, and Good Drives Gained, an ideal fit for a course that exposes any weakness.
Fleetwood has three Top 10s in four starts this season and ended last season on a run of four straight Top 20s with three Top 5s.
He popped with a T7 in his debut before he turned in a T62 last year, but all signs point to a rebound.
Leg 2: Russell Henley to finish Top 20
Russell Henley ranks among the sharpest targets in this field, with a 62.4% model probability to finish Top 20 and -105 odds that barely reflect his upside.
His 18th-ranked SG: Approach and ninth-best Bogey Avoidance are exactly the skills the Oaks Course rewards, where errant irons and compounding mistakes end weeks early.
Five of his six 2026 results are Top 20 finishes, a consistency that signals a player dialed in and overdue for his next win.
He's improved every year here, from a missed cut to a T52 to a solo 4th in 2024.
Valero Texas Open boosted parlay bet
To recap this parlay, we are riding with the following golfers to finish Top 20, including ties:
⛳ Tommy Fleetwood: 70.7%
⛳ Russell Henley: 62.4%
Due to the market including ties, we have slightly reduced odds, but will avoid any dead heat reduction which can be significantly impacted by multiple golfers occupying the same spot.
Grab it with a boost from +224 to +249 at bet365 sportsbook and let's cash!
Our boosted golf parlay at bet365 sportsbook, odds subject to change.
Dimers' expert golf picks and predictions for 2026 PGA TOUR
As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.
- PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including The Open and every major.
- Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
- Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
- PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR
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