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The Highlights From the Dimers Ask Me Anything Session
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Staff
Longtime visitors to Dimers.com would know what we're all about; providing data-led probability and trends to help you excel at sports betting. But it may surprise you to know exactly how Dimers operates day-in, day-out with a team of full-time staff working in a variety of different departments, from editorial and social content, to our data modelling team who work each and every day to create and refine our prediction models for more than 15 sports across the globe.
So, we decided to give you a look behind the curtain, putting it out there to our followers on Twitter to ask us anything they wanted about Dimers and our predictions.
RELATED: Dimers' MLB Home Run Predictor
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The Best Questions From Our AMA
Time to start our #DimersAMA! Thanks to everyone that sent in questions.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 6, 2023
The approach we take varies by sport, but yes some of them are Monte Carlo simulations -- MLB and Tennis would be examples of this.
Other models use various machine learning approaches. It all depends on… https://t.co/vHrOK9UHwB
MORE: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day
Yes, projections update as new information comes in; for example changes in expected lineups or underlying changes in our raw player projection model.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 6, 2023
Most projections currently update once an hour; and some update more frequently in the last hour, depending on when information… https://t.co/Z1bpBuU3TM
For picks shown on quick picks, best props, match pages etc, the picks are entirely data driven. We do occasionally show picks that come from human tipsters, but these will clearly be called out in content, e.g. @prospector_sam's plays.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 6, 2023
We're expanding our AI capabilities… https://t.co/mTOGtzRH6d
Hitting 4/5 on a HR Round Robin twice is right up there with our best calls.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 6, 2023
Also, in 2021 we ran a contest where we put on three World Series bets based upon our futures model at the start of the season and gave away the winnings. All three teams made it to the ALCS and NLCS 🤯… https://t.co/ZqQUEE0soj
This is a great question and one we've been discussing a lot internally and externally lately.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 7, 2023
AI developments are rapidly changing the betting landscape, and creating a bit of an "arms race" between handicappers/data driven selections and the lines makers at the sportsbooks.… https://t.co/ChHGque3j8
We haven't specifically looked at back-to-back games, and whether a player is less likely to hit a HR the day after they hit one, but our hypothesis would be that if the player gets the same amount of opportunities (plate appearances) and isn't injured that one day to the next is… https://t.co/eA5E1foCih
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 7, 2023
A number of the team here have previously drawn a good portion of their income from either betting or DFS; and while now building these models is a full-time job, we continue to bet them on the side.
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 7, 2023
There are a number of challenges with being a professional bettor these days… https://t.co/6y1Rdy4OZG
The HR props are a derivative of our player projections, which project the box score line for each player for each game. Those projections ultimately power a number of our sports betting and daily fantasy products, and are also the inputs to our match simulation module which… https://t.co/DGNNIpCjE4
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 7, 2023
Home-field advantage is a direct input, at the national and team level. Weather is not in the current version (although we are working on improvements for the 2023 season), but we do adjust for changes in the bookmaker totals vs our expected totals, which would capture for… https://t.co/tpmNKpvYWA
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) July 7, 2023
Got a burning question for us? Send through anything you want to know via email contact@dimers.com and we will respond!
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Dimers Staff For articles with several contributors, we use this author profile. This profile is also used for new sportsbook promos and offers. Our contributors' level of experience spans all sports and bet types. We hope we have you covered, no matter what you're betting on.
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