Texas State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Southern Miss favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/8/2026]

Southern Miss will take on Texas State in men's college basketball action at Reed Green Coliseum on Thursday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Southern Miss as the most likely winner of the Texas State vs. Southern Miss game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Texas State and Southern Miss 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Southern Miss a 61% chance of beating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Southern Miss winning 75-72.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Texas State and Southern Miss each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Texas State vs. Southern Miss odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas State vs. Southern Miss picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: