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Texas Southern vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Texas Southern vs Texas State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Texas State will square off with Texas Southern in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Saturday, commencing at 5:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Texas State as the most likely winner of the Texas Southern vs. Texas State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas Southern vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Texas Southern and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Texas State a 64% chance of beating Texas Southern. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 74-70.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Texas Southern and Texas State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Texas Southern vs. Texas State odds
We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texas Southern | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-102) | -3.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +168 | -190 |
| Total | o144.5 (-108) | u144.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texas Southern vs. Texas State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Southern +3.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Texas Southern | +168 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 144.5 total points.
Texas Southern vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas State and Texas Southern at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to commence at 5:00PM ET.
- Who: Texas Southern vs. Texas State
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Time: 5:00PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
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Conclusion
We predict Texas State, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Texas Southern on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas Southern vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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