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Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/22/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Missouri State predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Texas Rio Grande Valley-Missouri State Predictions and Game Preview.
Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State men's college basketball prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025.

Missouri State will take on Texas Rio Grande Valley in men's college basketball action at Great Southern Bank Arena on Saturday, commencing at 5:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Missouri State as the most likely winner of the Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Texas Rio Grande Valley and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Missouri State a 60% chance of defeating Texas Rio Grande Valley. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 76-73.

According to our model, Texas Rio Grande Valley (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 149.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State odds

We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Texas Rio Grande Valley Missouri State
Spread +3.5 (-118) -3.5 (-102)
Moneyline +136 -160
Total o149.5 (-110) u149.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Texas Rio Grande Valley +3.5 -118
Moneyline Missouri State -160
Total Over 149.5 -110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 149.5 total points.

 

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball game between Missouri State and Texas Rio Grande Valley at Great Southern Bank Arena is scheduled to start at 5:00PM ET.

  • Who: Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 5:00PM ET/2:00PM PT
  • Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena

Sports betting deal available for Missouri sports fans

To make the most of the upcoming Missouri launch, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $365 in bonus bets from a $10 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Texas Rio Grande Valley on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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