Tennessee vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/11/2026]

Mississippi State will face the favored Tennessee in men's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Wednesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Tennessee vs. Mississippi State game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Tennessee and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tennessee a 72% chance of defeating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 79-73.

According to our model, Mississippi State (+7.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 147.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State +7.5 at the spread.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between Mississippi State and Tennessee at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee vs. Mississippi State
• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum

Conclusion

We predict Tennessee, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tennessee vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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