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Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Tennessee vs Arkansas predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Arkansas will square off with Tennessee, in what is expected to be a close Men's College Basketball game, at Bud Walton Arena on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Arkansas a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Tennessee.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Tennessee vs. Arkansas matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Tennessee and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Arkansas a 52% chance of defeating Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 80-79.
According to our model, Arkansas (+1.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tennessee | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +110 |
| Total | o158.5 (-110) | u158.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas +1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Arkansas | +110 |
| Total | Over 158.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas to win.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Arkansas and Tennessee at Bud Walton Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tennessee vs. Arkansas
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Bud Walton Arena
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tennessee vs. Arkansas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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