Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State prediction: Why Tennessee State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/18/2025]

Tennessee State will square off with Tennessee-Martin in men's college basketball action at Gentry Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Tennessee State as the most likely winner of the Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Tennessee-Martin and Tennessee State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Tennessee State a 59% chance of defeating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Tennessee State winning 74-72.

According to our model, Tennessee-Martin (+2.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 141.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: