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TCU vs. UCF prediction: TCU favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get TCU vs UCF predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
UCF will take on TCU, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Addition Financial Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives TCU a slight edge with a 54% win probability over UCF.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's TCU vs. UCF matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
TCU vs. UCF prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between TCU and UCF 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives TCU a 54% chance of defeating UCF. Our predicted final score has TCU winning 77-76.
According to our model, UCF (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
TCU vs. UCF odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | TCU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -102 |
| Total | o154.5 (-110) | u154.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
TCU vs. UCF picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -1.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | TCU | -110 |
| Total | Under 154.5 | -108 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is TCU to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
TCU vs. UCF game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball action between UCF and TCU at Addition Financial Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: TCU vs. UCF
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Addition Financial Arena
Conclusion
We predict TCU, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat UCF on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate TCU vs. UCF insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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