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Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET as the Tampa Bay Rays lock horns with the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
The Blue Jays will send Patrick Corbin (1-1, 3.60 ERA) to the mound, while the Rays are going with Shane McClanahan (4-2, 2.60 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Rays-Blue Jays matchup.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Rays and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Rays and Blue Jays a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Rays vs. Blue Jays odds [5/12/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+145) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Moneyline | -116 | +100 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rays vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | +100 |
| Total | Over 8 | -105 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Blue Jays to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rays vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Blue Jays and Rays at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:07 PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Rays and Blue Jays on Tuesday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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