...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Lightning vs. Islanders prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/2/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs NY Islanders predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The NY Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet in the NHL at UBS Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Lightning vs. Islanders game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Lightning vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lightning vs. Islanders odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 (-235) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +100 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lightning vs. Islanders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +205 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -118 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning to win.
Lightning vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Guentzel a 42.3% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 42.3% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 37.1% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 28.7% |
| Nick Paul | 23.8% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 34.6% |
| Anders Lee | 26.6% |
| Mathew Barzal | 26.1% |
| Max Shabanov | 25.6% |
| Emil Heineman | 20.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 8.3% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.1% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 5.4% |
| Nick Paul | 4.5% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 7.2% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.4% |
| Max Shabanov | 4.7% |
| Anders Lee | 4.5% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.4% |
Lightning vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Islanders and Lightning at UBS Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure